You've probably heard what George W. Bush and his Washington Republican friends are saying: By the time you retire, Social Security won't exist. Of course, only a fool blindly believes that.
The truth is that the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office numbers say the program is solvent until 2052, when most of us will be near the ripe age of 70 years old. Even at that point, with no reforms, Social Security will meet 80 percent of its obligations. If this is a crisis, the paper cut I just received is a medical emergency.
The Bush administration, facing this paper cut, is proposing a full-course triage and amputation solution. George W. Bush calls his plan "personal accounts" because privatization doesn't sound quite as safe. And he proposes allowing young private citizens like ourselves to divert money from Social Security based on the idea that this will result in a higher rate of returns.
But his plan would cost nearly $5 trillion over the first 20 years. Yes, you read that right; it says trillion with a "t", adding to the current $420 billon deficit. This is money that hasn't been budgeted anywhere. That money would need to be paid off eventually, which usually means higher taxes, slower economic growth, and, higher interest rates on those pesky credit cards and student loans.
During Bush's State of the Union address he said that people over 55 years of age are guaranteed not to have any benefit cuts under his privatization plan. What about the rest of us? Privatization would slash benefits by more than 40 percent by changing the way Social Security benefits are calculated, even for those who do not choose to open a private account. A young worker today would lose about $152,000 in benefits under the leading privatization plan.
But even this misses the real threat of privatization. Privatization would weaken Social Security by gutting the guaranteed benefit. As we all know, private accounts are not 100-percent stable. Just ask the employees of Enron.
It is true that private investment will virtually always outperform the return of Social Security. But Social Security isn't a promise of lavish riches upon retirement. It is not a promise that early retirement be universal. It is a promise that none of our elderly be denied the dignity they deserve after a lifetime of labor. It is a guaranteed benefit that helps seniors maintain a basic standard of living.
If we learned one lesson from the Iraq War, it is that this administration will play fast and loose with facts and figures to achieve the goals it deems worthwhile.
They are playing the same games again. This time the threat affects our grandparents, our parents, our children and us. Don't let George W. Bush cut Social Security's benefits; instead, let's fight to keep the promise of Social Security alive for our generation and the generations to come.



